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A Few Short Years - Yesterday and Tomorrow

Discussion in 'The Lounge - Off Topic' started by Phoenix, May 19, 2004.

  1. Phoenix
    Honorary Member

    Phoenix 53656e696f7220 4d6f64

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    Deep title eh?
    ok, I was clearing out a storage space of my friends that I had left two 17" monitor boxes CRAMMED shite crap that i hardly needed, so that i wouldnt leave it all behind when i go stateside, anyway
    after many laughs over old photos, the wierd crap i had from when i was a kid, etc, we came across a few old PC mags and gave them the once over

    Feb 1999 (about 5 years ago)

    3.2GB HDD, 9.5ms access time, 5400 RPM, 85 GBP
    12.7GB HDD, 9.5ms access time, 5400 RPM, 220 GBP
    Pentium II, 350Mhz, 128mb SDRAM, 9GB Scsi LVD hard disk, 4'000 GBP

    Today
    200GB HDD, 4ms access time, 8mb cache, 7200 RPM, 90 GBP
    Pentium IV 3Ghz, 2GB DDR400 Memory, 400GB HDS, 2'000GBP

    Tomorrow
    ?


    I figured it would be fun to make our predictions of what it will be like in another 5 years, if the forum does as well as we hope we should still be here, and can look back on it and measure our accuracy lol :)
     
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  2. nugget
    Honorary Member

    nugget Junior toady

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    My prediction?

    Processor, 25-30GHz
    Memory, around 15GB for a desktop system
    HDD, ~1GB Flash drives
     
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  3. Phoenix
    Honorary Member

    Phoenix 53656e696f7220 4d6f64

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    come on I know more than one of you has some imagination :)


    Im gonna go
    ~10Ghz Processors
    ~10GB Ram
    ~2TB Hard Disk Space, not flash just yet
    everyone will have an LCD, a 20" LCD doing 1600x1200 will be under 500 GBP
     
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  4. nugget
    Honorary Member

    nugget Junior toady

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    Don't forget that on average everything doubles at around 18 months or so.
     
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  5. tripwire45
    Honorary Member

    tripwire45 Zettabyte Poster

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    Cities in the sky, moon bases, rocket packs that let you fly to work, a real Jetson's jet car, robots that do windows, a smart pill that you can take and suddenly know everything there is to know about Active Directory...

    ...or wait...I'm dreaming. :lol: :wink:
     
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  6. Phoenix
    Honorary Member

    Phoenix 53656e696f7220 4d6f64

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    true however there slowing down considerably, they need to work more on heat disapation than raw CPU power, were getting things like dual cores and imbedded memory controllers, rather than 10GHz CPUs
    it makes more sense really

    Dual Cores by 2005, aprox 4 - 5 Ghz
    6 - 8 Ghz predicted by 2006

    but were still at 3.2! so i think we will hang around the lower regions of those estimates :)
     
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  7. Jakamoko
    Honorary Member

    Jakamoko On the move again ...

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    8 Gbps SSDL - nice :D
     
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  8. Fergal1982

    Fergal1982 Petabyte Poster

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    see, it seems to me that the rate of tech change is beginning to slow down. short of radically altering some of the stuff we use, its going to be hard to get much better than todays level of tech. i know HDS is on its way - and if they ever made it capable of being used for HDD's - my god, think of the data storage and transfer rates: right now, they can fit approx 1TB onto a cd sized medium - i reckon, even in the early stages of HDD rollout we'd be seeing single HDD's with about 15-20TB of memory. theres NO way i could use that much, not using todays software - that said, im sure microsoft would fit windows into about ten of that! :lol:

    i think if we could get optical pathways into pc's (instead of trace, for instance) we could radically increase the data transfer rate. as for processors? im thinking the way things are going we'll end up switching to multi-processors within commercial pc's.

    Fergal
     
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  9. SimonV

    SimonV Petabyte Poster Administrator

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    A faster boot process would be great, something that you can just press the switch and it on. Now that would inpress me. 8)

    Progression on CPU technology so that heatsinks and fans stop getting bigger and louder.
     
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  10. Sandy

    Sandy Ex-Member

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    IP V6 issued at birth.

    Chip implanted at birth.

    TB upload / download speeds to your PC via the Chip

    Use of your unused "brain capacity" while you are asleep by anybody on the planet.

    :oops:
     
  11. Jakamoko
    Honorary Member

    Jakamoko On the move again ...

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    Sandy, tell me you spent the weekend drinking Absynthe to come up with those ideas ? That is too scary to even contemplate :eek:
     
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  12. Sandy

    Sandy Ex-Member

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    Gav

    I don't like Aniseed :idea:
     
  13. tripwire45
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    tripwire45 Zettabyte Poster

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    Geez, Sandy....these kids are sooooooooo serious. Now, back to that Jetson's car... :wink:
     
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